MTS

How Congress traded AI

Analyzing every trade on a bucket of AI-adjacent equities made by Members of Congress since ChatGPT went public in 2022.

+$50.15Mnet P&L, est.
39%hit rate
116members
2.6ktrades
The trade of the cycle

Nancy Pelosi's NVDA buy is up +364%

In late 2023, Nancy Pelosi bought NVDA at $48.72. If she's held (and there's no filings saying she's sold), that trade likely netted her over $10 million.

Best single trades

The five PTR filings that produced the most paper P&L.

Pelosi sweeps the top five with three NVDA buys and two AVGO buys, all timed inside a 14-month window before the chip rally. No other member's single trade lands in this group.

Methodology

P&L is computed with FIFO share-lot accounting, the same approach public trackers like Quiver Quantitative and Capitol Trades use. For each (member, ticker) we walk trades chronologically: every buy creates a lot of shares (mid-bucket dollars ÷ the close on the trade date), and every sell consumes the oldest lots first, booking realized P&L equal to sell-price minus cost basis on the shares consumed. Whatever shares remain at the end are marked to today's close as unrealized P&L. Total P&L per trade = realized + unrealized.

We don't have exact share counts, only the bucket ranges disclosed under the STOCK Act ($1,001 to $15,000, $15,001 to $50,000, etc.), so each trade's notional is the bucket midpoint. The figures ignore taxes and fees, and we only see trade flow inside our window (Nov 30, 2022 onward), not the member's starting position. A sell that exceeds the shares accumulated inside the window is scored only against whatever shares we have. Universe limited to 29 AI & datacenter tickers (GOOG and GOOGL collapsed into a single Alphabet entry).